Welcome to the "Z" Team!

Interesting update news to share!  An improving economy is contributing to a gradual rebound in home prices across the country, according to mortgage giant Freddie Mac’s 2012 Economic Outlook report, released Wednesday. But there is still a way to go in the road to recovery for the housing market, the report noted.

“The housing market is showing some signs of shaking off the depression-like conditions that have plagued it for much of the past few years,” according to the report. “As if awakening from hibernation, housing starts and home sales moved to higher levels of activity.”

In fact, the signs have prompted Freddie Mac to revise its forecast upwards for home sales and originations. One economic contributor that’s helping to stabilize housing: The drop in the unemployment rate to 8.3 percent, its lowest level in three years, according to the report.

“A variety of encouraging indicators suggest that the housing market may be feeling a nascent recovery … and more neighborhoods may see a stabilization in overall demand and housing values this spring,” says Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. Please proide your thoughts or comments!?!

Source: “Freddie Mac: Economic Growth Expected to Stabilize Housing Market” Dow Jones Newswires (March 28, 2012)

Two-thirds of renters — across educational and demographic levels — say they want to purchase a home in the future, according to a quarterly national housing survey of 3,000 Americans conducted by Fannie Mae. But they’re spooked about the mortgage process.

“In spite of the impact of the housing crisis on home values and home ownership rates across the country, Americans by and large still hope to become home owners,” says Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s chief economist. “Some may not be financially positioned to own a home in the near future, but Americans may begin to revisit that aspiration as employment and household balance sheets improve over the coming years.”

Realtors ease the homebuying process of qualifying and navigating the mortgage process. Coordinating and informing buyers about financing their home is the key!   

“If potential home owners avoid the process because they believe it to be too complex, we will likely see a continued impact on home ownership rates,” Duncan says.

Source: “Fannie Mae Finds Americans Remain Committed to Homeownership,” HousingWire (3/27/12)

Great news to share with you! The U.S. Supreme Court handed private property owners a victory yesterday with a decision allowing a couple to appeal an EPA ruling that their property contains a wetlands. Please view and provide your comments.

The court’s decision is supported by the National Association of REALTORS®, which along with other organizations submitted a friend-of-the-court brief in the case.

The ruling is on a narrow procedural issue: whether the owners have the right to appeal the EPA’s wetlands determination or wait until they first restore the property to its original state and then institute expensive and time-consuming monitoring activities? Noncompliance with the directive can subject violators to fines of up to $75,000 a day!

Lower courts have sided with the EPA, saying the agency’s compliance orders aren’t subject to judicial review. Only when the agency goes before a judge to assess a fine for noncompliance is the order reviewable by a court. But the Supreme Court in its unanimous decision said it’s appropriate to allow parties to contest agency decisions before having to first comply with the order.

NAR argued in its brief that the property owners in this case were being denied due process because the compliance procedures take years to work through and the costs are significant — all before the main question of whether the property contains a wetlands is even considered.

In this case, Mike and Chantell Sackett bought a piece of property in an already developed subdivision near Priest Lake in Idaho with sewer infrastructure already in place. After they started to prepare the property for construction of their house, they were directed by the EPA to stop and mitigate the changes they had made to the land out of a concern that the property contained a wetland — even though the property was adjacent to other developed properties and there was no water on the site at the time.

The Sacketts sought a hearing for their case to determine whether the property contained a wetlands, but EPA said that question couldn’t be decided until after they undertook the restoration and monitoring activities, or refused to do that and were levied a fine.

With the Supreme Court decision, the Sacketts can now get their day in court.

We appreciate this source from Robert Freedman, REALTOR® Magazine

Encouraging news to share! As part of a settlement with state attorneys general, the five largest mortgage servicers are adopting new requirements for short sales, which is expected to speed-up what has been known as a lengthy process.

Here are some of the new requirements for servicers under the settlement:

Servicers must provide borrowers with a decision within 30 days after receiving a short sale package request.

Servicers will be required to notify a borrower, also within 30 days, if any necessary documents are missing to process the short sale request.

Servicers must notify a borrower immediately if a deficiency payment is needed to approve the short sale. They also must provide an estimated amount for the deficiency payment needed for the short sale.

Servicers are also required to form an internal group to review all short sale requests.

Banks will be considered in violation of the settlement requirements if they take longer than 30 days on more than 10 percent of the short sale requests. Violations can carry fines of up to $1 million and $5 million for repeat offenses.

“If a real estate broker can get a checklist from the bank detailing what documentation is needed, everything can be provided up front, and the bank will be required to give a thumbs-up or a thumbs-down within 30 days,” short sale specialist Chris Hanson with the Hanson Law Firm told HousingWire. “That’s not a bad deal.”

Source: “AG Settlement Starts the Clock on Short Sales,” HousingWire (March 14, 2012)

This ‘Mega Force’ is becoming a growing force in the housing market, with this demographic’s purchasing power more than doubling over the past decade, according to a new report by the National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals called “The State of Hispanic Home Ownership 2011.”

Reconizing the purchasing power of Latinos grew to $1.1 trillion in 2011 and is projected to reach $1.6 trillion by 2016, according to NAHREP. We assist in helping Hispanic Clients!  Hablamos Espanol, www.dougandbudzeller.com or zeller123@gmail.com

Rapid population growth (the Hispanic population more than tripled between 1980 and 2010), the population’s relatively young age, dramatic employment growth, and growing incomes are all triggering a higher rate of Hispanic home buyers, according to NAHREP. Fifty-three percent of the total U.S. population’s 545,000 new owner-occupants in the third quarter of 2011 were Hispanic home owners, according to Census Bureau data.

What’s more, about two-thirds of Hispanic renters have said they plan to purchase a home, according to a 2011 Fannie Mae survey.

“Despite recent losses suffered by Hispanics during the housing crisis, young Latino families that were unaffected by foreclosure or lost home values are ready to enter the market,” says NAHREP President Carmen Mercado. “When they do, they will have an exponential impact on housing sales.”

New household growth is projected to be greater for the Hispanic population than any other demographic, says David Stevens, president of the Mortgage Banker’s Association. “The need to recognize the most critical variables in housing type, price range, affordability, and mortgage product terms will be critical for all housing stakeholders — from lenders and [real estate professionals] to policy makers — in order to ensure that the home ownership needs of Hispanics and other Americans are met,” he says.

Source: National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals 

Interesting that nearly half of home owners recently polled in an online survey said they would walk away from their mortgage if home prices continued to fall. The poll included 1,000 visitors to HousingPredictor, a real estate Web site.

While the poll is unscientific, we question whether home owners are starting to grow more acceptance of the strategic default idea? Strategic default is when home owners walk away from their mortgage obligations, despite being able to make their payments.

In a similar poll in March 2010, HousingPredictor found that 32 percent said they would strategic default if prices fell further — compared to 47 percent in the most recent poll.

But for home owners who walk away from their mortgage obligations, they often do so with later regrets. Experts caution that home owners take a big hit to their credit score — a 30-day late payment alone could bring your credit score down by 100 points, says Glamis Haro, a lending manager who was interviewed by AOL Real Estate. Defaulters may also have to wait up to seven years to even apply for a mortgage again.

Source:“Strategic Default: Would Half of Home Owners Walk Away?”  AOL Real Estate (March 9, 2012)

Information we’d like to share! Fifty-one percent of Americans in a recent poll say that if their financial situation were to improve, they’d buy a home. Coming in second on the list of wishes, they’d make repairs or improvements to the home they already have, according to the poll of more than 1,400 Americans conducted by the National Foundation for Credit Counseling Web site, www.DebtAdvice.org 

Meanwhile, 17 percent of Americans polled said they’d upgrade their car and 9 percent said they’d take a vacation. Please comment on what would be your decision?  

“Home ownership has traditionally been a part of sound financial planning,” says Gail Cunningham, spokesperson for the NFCC, a nonprofit credit counseling organization. “With a combined total of 74 percent of respondents selecting a home-oriented option, the poll results strongly suggests that people continue to place value in owning a home, and are anxious to buy a house or improve their existing one.”

Based on data from Melissa Dittmann Tracey for REALTOR Magazine Daily News

Good news to share! Concerns over housing and the economy are subsiding, according to Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey from February.

An improving job market is a big part of what’s behind Americans feeling more confident about the housing market and the direction of the economy, according to the survey.

“The pickup in the pace of hiring over the past few months has helped soothe consumer concerns, lifting their moods regarding their personal finances, the direction of the economy, and their views on the housing market,” says Doug Duncan, chief economist of Fannie Mae. “As a result, we’ve seen more potential for economic upside, creating a more balanced near-term outlook.”

The survey found that 28 percent of Americans expect home prices to increase over the next 12 months while 53 percent say prices will likely stay the same. Fifteen percent say they expect home prices to decline.

With low mortgage rates and falling home prices, 70 percent of those surveyed say now is a good time to purchase a home. Also, more Americans surveyed say now is a good time to sell, rising to 13 percent in February, which is the highest level in more than a year but still low by historic standards. Please share your thoughts.

Source: Fannie Mae

California median home price: January 2012: $268,280 (Source: California Association of Realtors, C.A.R.)

Highest median home price by region/county January 2012: Marin, $694,440 (Source: C.A.R.)

Lowest median home price by region/county January 2012: Tehama, $110,000 (Source: C.A.R.)

Pending Home Sales Index: January 2012: 102.4, an increase from the revised 93.1 recorded in January 2011

Traditional Housing Affordability Index: Fourth quarter 2011: 55 percent (Source: C.A.R.)

Mortgage rates: Week ending 3/1/2012 30-yr. fixed: 3.90% fees/points: 0.8% 15-yr. fixed: 3.17 fees/points: 0.8% 1-yr. adjustable: 2.72% Fees/points: 0.6% (Source: Freddie Mac)

The housing supply is expected to normalize in two to four years, Barclays Capital projects, assuming that household formation rates increase to 1.1 million and construction remains slightly above 2011 levels.

Household formation–which is a reflection of population growth and housing affordability–has drastically dropped since 2007, reaching about 300,000 to 500,000 per year. Historically, the rate is about 1.25 million.

Home prices will likely see a 1 percent appreciation this year (that’s after falling 3 to 4 percent through March), Barclays Capital estimates. It is also projecting a 1 percent price appreciation in 2013, followed by 2 percent to 3 percent appreciation levels.

But to reach those goals, the housing supply needs to continue to shrink first. Our region in the Sierra Foothills of Placerville, California is experiencing a low supply in the under $300,000. price range. This is the primary market for first time home buyers and cash investors. So we’re off to a supply, demand race for the spring market?

Source: “Barclays: Housing Supply Could Normalize in 2014,” HousingWire (3/2/12)